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  • Essay / The idea of ​​optimistic bias in fast and slow thinking, a book by Daniel Kahneman

    Optimistic bias: innovation through the hope of creators: used to encourage us and convince us of a better future or outcome against all odds. It's the light at the end of the tunnel. It lives in the dreams of the innovators of our future. It is the last gift in Pandora's box, which helps us bear the eternal evils of this world. But how does the human brain continue to maintain hope when it receives significant information against it? How can people still get that hope when they are likely to fail? Daniel Kahneman, in his book Thinking, Fast and Slow, gives this hope a new name: the optimistic bias. The term optimistic bias refers to the human brain's reaction to being given odds against a situation, while still believing in a positive outcome. According to Kahneman, the optimistic bias gives individuals the ability to see beyond obstacles and take risks; Due to our competitive and evolving society, an optimistic bias is necessary for cultural innovation through entrepreneurship and artistic talent. Say no to plagiarism. Get a tailor-made essay on “Why violent video games should not be banned”? Get the original essay Attitude is the basis on which optimism flourishes, but optimism is more than a carefree attitude ; it leads to more than just a brilliant outlook on life. Studies prove that optimism leads to longer lifespans, but also successful careers. “Optimists are normally cheerful and happy, and therefore popular; they are resilient and adapt to failures and difficulties, their risks of clinical depression are reduced and their immune systems are stronger, they take better care of their health, they feel healthier than others and are in fact susceptible to live longer. (Kahneman, 255) People who express an optimistic bias are seen throughout history as “inventors, entrepreneurs, political and military leaders – not ordinary people.” (Kahneman 256) These innovators of our future are subject to the optimistic bias because of the influential role of risk-taking. This is subject to their overconfidence in their respective fields. “Their experiences of success confirmed their confidence in their judgment and their ability to control events. » (Kahneman, 256) Between overconfidence and blindness to statistics, Kahneman discovers that "the people who have the greatest influence on the lives of others are likely to be optimistic and overconfident, and to take more risks than they think. “In the manifestation of an optimistic bias through attitude, perseverance is then enabled to achieve its goal. “One of the benefits of an optimistic temperament is that it encourages perseverance in the face of obstacles.” (Kahneman, 257) In a study conducted by Thomas Åstebro, Kahneman notes the reactions of a group of inventors when they were provided with a constructive evaluation of their inventions under the Inventors' Assistance Program. “Discouraging news led about half of the inventors to give up after receiving a grade that unequivocally predicted failure. However, 47% of them continued their development efforts even after being told their project was hopeless, and on average these persistent (or stubborn) individuals doubled their initial losses before giving up. (Kahneman, 257) Statistics show that holding on over the long term leads to more success. “The chances of a small business surviving five years in the United States are about 35%. But the individuals who.